Nothing Looms - It Doesn’t Matter

by Chris
December 22nd, 2004 12:50 pm

According to this Washington Post \ ABC News poll, 74% of those polled believe that the Social Security program is in crisis or has major problems. Given that level of concern, it will clearly be difficulty to convince a sizable portion of the population that there is, in fact, no crisis. As has been pointed out in numerous places recently, most of us have been told for so long that insolvency is looming that even a clear recitation of the facts is greeted with skepticism. For that reason I’m doubtful that simply proclaiming that there is no Social Security crisis and pressuring wavering Democrats will stave off the President’s attempt destroy the program.

I think that in order to be successful we do need to acknowledge a crisis in the Social Security program and start hammering away at it, just not the crisis Mr. Bush has in mind. The average monthly Social Security payout at $922 is woefully inadequate. That’s the crisis. I think that figure needs to be doubled, at the very least, in order to afford retirees even a modest standard of living in most of our large metropolitan areas.

The obvious question is how we would pay for this. I think the answer is simple, although it would be highly unpopular in some quarters. Repeal the Social Security tax cap, which currently stands at $87,000, and make all income taxable. Additionally, increasing the 12.4% Social Security payroll tax to a more significant percentage for earned income over $250,000 would provide a nice cushion. This would obviously constitute a significant change in the very nature of the Social Security program, but would represent social progress in lifting many of America’s elderly out of poverty or near poverty.

Would something like that ever get passed into law? Of course not. Is it even a good idea? I’m not convinced. The point is this; the problem with the current strategy (if there is one) is that it involves overcoming serious misconceptions in order to defend the status quo. This administration has proven itself adept at kicking the ball forwards, or backwards as the case may be, and letting others run and catch it. They are doing it again and, in this case, the public is already primed to hear solutions to a perceived crisis. If Social Security is to be saved a mere defense of the status quo will not be enough. I believe the ball needs to be kicked in another, more progressive direction.

People like ideas, even bad ones.

2 Responses to “Nothing Looms - It Doesn’t Matter”

  1. loyopp Says:

    I actually think your idea has a pretty good chance of being part of the solution. Who’s taxes get raised? People at the top end of the distribution, a relatively small group. Who wins? Retirees, and man do they vote. Not surprisingly, the AARP wants the cap raised.

    I’m opposed to it though, unless reducing benefits for comfortable retirees is part of the bargain. What will people do if we turn Social Security into a true social insurance program which *only* serves the function of *preventing poverty among the elderly*? Young people will face consequences for imprudent spending and will save more for retirement. And the cost of the program will be cut in *half*, by the way.

  2. Chris Says:

    Thanks for the comment.

    I agree with you to the extent that the proposal I put forward is silly. My point, however inarticulate, was that Social Security is poised for a major revision in the very near future and that ensuring a workable, humane and fiscally responsible outcome will require more than a meager defense of the status quo. That meek defense is all I’ve seen thus far.

    In my mind, which is a fairly small place, preventing poverty amongst the elderly, generational inequality and all, is a worthy and noble goal.

    Cutting benefits in order to prevent imprudent spending and encourage rational savings by the young strikes me as a particularly cruel experiment and a drastic step backwards. It fails (I hope) to take into account those who spend their lives working brutal shit jobs, often several of them at a time, for limited compensation in order to make ends meet. Should they be forced to live in the shit part of town, on meager sustenance, because their Social Security benefit doesn’t cover the basic cost of living and they were unable, due to their shit salary, to save for old age? Should they be forced to work their shit job until the day they die?

    Granted, that’s a simplification, but in my part of the world, it’s really not much of one.

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